Zimmerman Likely Guilty, Likely to Go Free

George Zimmerman pre-trial hearing

I don’t think there’s really any way that a jury can find George Zimmerman guilty of murder or even of manslaughter. This analysis for ABC by Dan Abrams explains why, but the short version is that Zimmerman’s story (that he only got out of the car to get an address and was attacked by Martin) is bolstered by enough of the evidence (e.g. physical injuries and eye-witness testimony that he was on the ground and Martin was on top) that I just don’t think a jury can dismiss his tale beyond a reasonable doubt.