I use a trick with co-workers when we’re trying to decide where to eat for lunch and no one has any ideas. I recommend McDonald’s.
An interesting thing happens. Everyone unanimously agrees that we can’t possibly go to McDonald’s, and better lunch suggestions emerge. Magic!
Seems plausible, but I think some people suffer from being afraid to start things, and some people suffer from starting too many things and/or not finishing things.
This is a fascinating article from The American Conservative (never heard of it before today) which struck me on many levels. First of all, I’m fascinated by the idea that the world is not the way that we think it is, and Ron Unz provides several real-world examples of this. They are startling, provocative, and credible. For example, he cites the appearance of Harry Dexter White to represent the United States in the formation of the Bretton Wood’s sytem (the system of international monetary finance erected after World War 2). The problem? Harry Dexter White was a Soviet spy. So were hundreds–possibly thousands–of highly-placed American officials in the years after World War 2. Now that the Cold War is over this is less controversial and therefore easier to prove, but it’s still a fact that most Americans are totally ignorant of. Old Joe McCarthy might have gotten a lot of this specific charges completely wrong, but it turns out that the general thrust of his argument–that the United States was riddled with communist infiltrators–was absolutely correct.
From there, Unz goes on to suggest that there are present-day examples of this kind of complete blindness to reality-as-it-really-is, and specifically that this is a result of the American media refusing to cover certain stories. We’re clearly treading close to conspiracy-theory territory here, but I was surprised that Unz’s chosen examples (he has three) seemed credibly substantiated, plausible, and were completely new to me. No Truthers or Birthers here.
So what causes this selective, bipartisan media blindness? There’s the danger of suggesting the New Illuminati or some such are behind it all, but once again Unz manages to stay on the sane side of the fence. He writes:
A likely reason for this wall of uninterest on so many important issues is that the disasters involved are often bipartisan in nature, with both Democrats and Republicans being culpable and therefore equally eager to hide their mistakes. Perhaps in the famous words of Benjamin Franklin, they realize that they must all hang together or they will surely all hang separately.
Explanations based on pervasive incentives are much, much more compelling than explanations requiring a secret cabal (for reasons I won’t go into in this post), so Unz’s case argument continues to appeal to me as plausible. And then comes the last paragraph:
Consider the fascinating perspective of the recently deceased Boris Berezovsky, once the most powerful of the Russian oligarchs and the puppet master behind President Boris Yeltsin during the late 1990s. After looting billions in national wealth and elevating Vladimir Putin to the presidency, he overreached himself and eventually went into exile. According to the New York Times, he had planned to transform Russia into a fake two-party state—one social-democratic and one neoconservative—in which heated public battles would be fought on divisive, symbolic issues, while behind the scenes both parties would actually be controlled by the same ruling elites. With the citizenry thus permanently divided and popular dissatisfaction safely channeled into meaningless dead-ends, Russia’s rulers could maintain unlimited wealth and power for themselves, with little threat to their reign. Given America’s history over the last couple of decades, perhaps we can guess where Berezovsky got his idea for such a clever political scheme.
Now, if the argument was that Berezovsky was trying to imitate an older American conspiracy, e.g. that someone had already done in America what Berezovsky hoped to accomplish in Mother Russia, then we’ve got a problem. But I don’t think that’s what Unz was saying. (Being coy about it probably keeps his readership a little higher, however.) Instead, I think his point is that the American system has evolved into this unfortunate predicament, and Berezovsky wanted an astroturf version of the authentic American political quagmire. It didn’t work, no, but it highlights just how vulnerable America is to being fleeced by those who recognize the superficiality of the differences between the parties.
The question, of course, is what to do about it. And that’s one of the things I’d like to get comments on. (I’d also like a sanity-check on some of his three examples of media stonewalling. Anyone got any info on those?)
I don’t buy the naive idea that our 2-party system is to blame, as though a parlimentary system would solve our problems. I do think that the problem is structural rather than political, however. I think that the best solutions to the false fight between D and R involve nerdy reforms to our system that are unlikely to have any obvious connection to the problem. For example: I’d love to see an end to all gerrymandering, or at least a requirement on the shape of congressional districts that hamstrings the creativity of gerrymandered districts. Creating truly “fair” districts is hard. Constraining the amount of crazy, however, is easy. (That’s a link to various methods of establishing objective criteria for measuring gerrymandering. None of them are perfect, but any of them could be used to put a lid on the current problem.)
Sample instant run-off ballot. You get to rank your votes, and you don’t have to vote for everyone.
Another reform that I’d love to see would be the implementation of instant run-off elections. Right now we have what are called “first pass the poll” elections, which means who ever gets the most wins. This encourages what’s called “strategic voting”. Strategic voting is what forces people to vote for candidates they don’t really like because they think the candidate has a better chance of winning, and the result is that it puts tremendous power in the hands of political parties. A couple hundred years ago these political parties weren’t as sophisticated and there really weren’t any other options, so that made sense. Today, we can easily implement instant-run off elections and the parties are much more powerful, so we should. (In an instant run-off election, you vote for everyone on the ballot by ranking them in order of preference. The short version of this is that it means everyone can honestly put a third party candidate first if that’s who they really want to win, then put their “safe” choice second. So: no more strategic voting.)
Here’es another simple reform: create a lottery to determine the order of states in the presidential primary. The only reason we continue to have such a stupid policy as corn-ethanol subsidies (not to mention government hand-outs to agri-business in general) is that Iowa is an early voting state. This is insane. The logical thing to do is to just draw straws or something every four years to see what order the states get to go in.
None of these reforms are sexy. None of them are political. But all of them would, I think, have a significant and material impact on fixing our political system. Once we fixed the system, thenwe could maybe have a shot at getting some fixes implemented for some of the political problems. (Like reforming our idiotic tax or immigration codes.)
I just saw an ad from Amazon to pre-order a new Samsung 4K Ultra HDTV. What is a “4K Ultra HDTV”? It’s like an HD TV, but with 4 times as many pixels. HD TVs have 1920X1080 = 2,073,600 total pixels. The new 4K Ultra HDTVs have 3840X2160 = 8,294,400 total pixels. So we’re going from about 2 million to about 8million, so I guess that explains the 4. I don’t know what explains the K. (As an aside: most people who actually talk about resolution in their day-to-day lives would consider this a doubling because only the rows are counter, which is why 1920X1080 is referred to as “1080p”, but that’s neither here nor there.)
The 65″ model is going to set you back about $7,000, but–aside from the facts that I don’t have $7,000 to spend on a TV and that even if I did my wife would kill me for it–there are a couple of problems. First: the 4K Ultra HDTV is only one of two standards under the “Ultra HDTV” moniker. The other is 8K Ultra HDTV (I’ll let you figure how many pixels that one has). So if you bought the 4K, would you end up sort of like those folks who bought the 720p HDTVs before the 1080p HDTVs became standard? Even more importantly: what are you going to watch on this monstrous display? There’s not a lot of content available at the resolution. The only thing I found was TimeScapes which, while cool, doesn’t seem to justify a brand new computer.
But what I’m really curious about is when TVs will finally move to a display standard that makes sense, like the Apple Retina Display. The idea there is that it’s not the number of pixels that matter, it’s the size of the pixels relative to the distance you are from the screen. Once you can no longer visually recognize pixels at a normal viewing distance, adding more pixels gets silly. It’s just a nice, simple number that marketing guys can emphasize to sell their product, although a lot of other things (like color fidelity, brightness, and contrast ratio) matter a lot for making a screen look good.
Set amid the rolling plains outside Aleppo, the town of al-Safira looks just like another vicious battleground in Syria’s civil war. On one side are lightly-armed rebels, on the other are government troops, and in between is a hotly-contested no-man’s land of bombed-out homes and burned-out military vehicles.
The fight for al-Safira is no ordinary turf war, however, and the prize can be found behind the perimeter walls of the heavily-guarded military base on the edge of town. Inside what looks like a drab industrial estate is one of Syria’s main facilities for producing chemical weapons – and among its products is sarin, the lethal nerve gas that the regime is now feared to be deploying in its bid to cling to power.
That would be ominous enough, but then there’s this:
Among the rebel lines in al-Safira flutters the black flag of the al-Nusra Brigade, the jihadist group that recently declared its allegiance to al-Qaeda. Known for their fighting prowess honed in Iraq, they are now taking the lead in nearly every frontline in the Syrian war, and earlier this month, pushed to within just over a mile of al-Safira, only to for the Syrian troops to regain the ground last week.
This post is a little old (from back on April 1), but I was waiting for the reporter to tell me when the article was going to get posted and I guess he forgot. In any case, it’s a piece about the connection between Mormons and sci-fi spurred by the release of movie version of The Host. And I’m quoted extensively, although perhaps not coherently? I’m too tired to tell. In any case, it’s neat to be cited and the article is pretty good.
I’ve also got a piece on Mormonism and sci fi myself that will be running in Times & Seasons a little later on today.
I also thought how it might be a really great thing for someone to come to Christianity after a life of atheism rather than the other way around. So often the folks who are raised in the faith have a hard time coming to grasp the value of what has always been right in front of them. Does a fish really understand what water is? Because someone wandering through a desert absolutely will.
The mantra of the gun-control crowd following the tragedy in Newtown has been that no one wants to come after your Second Amendment rights. The only objective is to protect little children. A lot of people who don’t think about the issue much at all seem to have swallowed this rhetoric, which is why there is a lot of genuine anger about the Senate’s failure to get even the smallest change into effect: closing the gun-show loophole by requiring private sales to also go through the background check system. And I’m going to be honest: I’m really surprised that that initiative failed, and even more stunned that it failed in the Senate. Part of the reason President Obama was so furious is that he assumed that if it failed it would fail in the House and therefore be attributable to the GOP. Gift-wrapped 2014 issue, here we come. The fact that it failed in the Senate, still under Democratic control, not only robs the Democrats of a potentially lucrative political opportunity, but also indicates that the whole issue might be practically irrelevant in the 2014 midterms. But I digress.
The point I was originally making is that it is absurd to think that any of the proposed changes would have any impact on gun crime, either on spectacular (but rare) mass-shootings or on mundane (but tragically common) gun violence. The only way to have a significant impact on either metric via gun control is to significantly reduce the number of guns in circulation. In other words, the Second Amendment (as it is presently understood), absolutely is the target. Anyone who says otherwise is ignorant or lying.
Which is why I found this article so refreshing. First of all, it gives a relatively balanced and fact-based assessment of the practical implications of expanding background checks. Secondly, it goes on to put the background check legislation in honest context:
This gets at the crux of the debate over gun control. Background checks are fine, but more background checks are better, and even stricter regulations are better than that at preventing guns from getting into the hands of criminals. As my colleague has stated, the gun control that is most effective is no guns at all. Honest gun-control advocates will admit that the bill that failed last week was merely a first step towards more regulation. Sure it was weak and flawed, but as Barack Obama said, it represented “progress”.
And so, with that clear-eyed perspective on what was going on in this particular case, the article can also present the NRA’s response accurately:
The question asked and answered by the National Rifle Association and those in its thrall was, “Progress towards what?” They know that the endgame for gun-control advocates is not expanding background checks to private sales at gun shows and online. They too saw the bill as the start of a longer-term attempt to place greater restrictions on guns in America. And that’s why they vehemently opposed a sensible measure with minimal impact.
That’s what was really going on. I’m guessing that the NRA had to go all-out to get the background check bill killed in the Senate. They didn’t exert maximal political pressure because they hate background checks that much. If someone could have guaranteed that the background check law would not have been used in any kind of subsequent regulatory rights-grab, the NRA would have preserved their political capital for another day. But such a guarantee is impossible. The NRA dug their heels in because universal background checks are a beachhead for a greater offensive.
The consequence of all this is simple: we’re not likely to see any incremental changes in gun control legislation without some kind of progress on the much larger question of the long-range future of guns in the United States.
The blind eye the media largely turned to the Gosnell story is only one example of the subtle but pervasive media bias in the traditional media establishment. This isn’t a conspiracy, it’s merely a reflection of homogeneous politics. Journalists and their editors are overwhelmingly from the left of American politics, and they see the world through a center-left lens. So when a someone who claims affiliation with the pro-life movement shoots an abortionists, this is head-line news. It fits a pre-existing narrative. But when someone who claims affiliation with the pro-choice movement shoots a non-violent pro-life protester that gets much less coverage because it doesn’t fit a pre-existing narrative.
In a center-left view of American politics: the right wing is associated with violence, authoritarianism, and oppression.
Flord Corkins II – Mass murder in the name of marriage equality.
So here’s another story that will get limited coverage because it doesn’t fit that mold. Anyone remember the shooting spree at the Family Research Center that wasn’t? I say “that wasn’t” because an armed security guard managed to stop the attacker (Floyd Corkins II) immediately, but the HuffPo (hat tip for going against the political grain) has some information on what the shooter’s objective was:
A security guard subdued Corkins in the lobby of the Family Research Council in August after he pointed a pistol at the man. Corkins fired three shots, and the guard was the only one wounded. Corkins, who was carrying nearly 100 rounds of ammunition and 15 Chick-fil-A sandwiches, later told authorities that he had planned to kill as many people as possible and then to smear the sandwiches on their faces as a political statement.
According to the government’s case against Corkins, if he had not been defeated by the security guard he “would have almost certainly succeeded in committing a massacre of epic portions.” And smearing each corpse with a Chick-Fil-A sandwich. Why a Chick-Fil-A sandwich? Well here’s some video of Corkins being interrogated by FBI agents in which he discusses why he targeted the Family Research Center.
So, a would-be mass shooter picked the FRC by looking at the Southern Poverty Law Center‘s list of anti-gay organizations (the FRC opposes gay marriage). Now the Chick-Fil-A thing makes sense, since the attack happened around the time that some people were boycotting Chick-Fil-A because the CEO gives money to socially conservative causes that opposed gay marriage. So Corkins thought a good, pro-gay marriage response would be to kill a few dozen people and rub it in their faces, so to speak.
Does Corkins represent the pro-gay marriage side of the debate? Absolutely not. I’m not interested in trying to tar an entire half of the political spectrum with this man’s craziness. I just think it’s instructive how much the news cycle depends on pre-existing stereotypes to news coverage. And this isn’t always friendly to liberals, either. There is absolutely no doubt that if you’re a pretty, young, blonde girl who gets kidnapped you’re going to get wall-to-wall coverage, but if you’re a black girl from an inner city forget it. The center-left political lens of American journalists is, after all, also calibrated to a mostly white, college-educated cohort.
I just think it’s useful to keep in mind that violent people come from all parts of the political spectrum, and I can’t help but wonder what some of the national debate on political issues would look like if the violence of conservatism wasn’t taken as axiomatic…